I have always improvised a lot and the key choose itself whenever I feel like I find a nice melody or progression. This mainly refers to guitar that I have been playing for some 17 years. I remember when starting out with songwriting I would use the harmonic circle or “borrow” from Neil Young.

Now with keys and synths I have little idea of what I’m doing so I let my ears guide me and that works fine as long as I play alone. But not much composing, mostly improvisation.
I would say for myself that chance or ears decides the key.

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